Stock market crash predictions seem to always be wrong, or better to say, like a broker clock. A bubble can last for a decade and longer, but why so much discussion about it? Well, here is why it matters for long-term investors.
0:00 Crash Talk
0:42 Investing Focus
1:35 Risk or Crash
2:13 Example
5:42 Maximizing Returns
Grantham’s Super Bubble Video – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cnMigqTDbQ
Crash Unlikely Video – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MWUC2xjtIDA
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#stocks #stockmarket #crash
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ABOLISH the stock market. Its language and delusions here: https://youtu.be/4RruNjjjx4g
Always wrong, huh? At least Grantham and Burry has always been right, and you would've benefited from listening to their warnings, since everytime, even though they've been early, the benchmark has been lower after their warnings. You would have to suffer through some rallies after their warnings, but they've always come down lower than the date they warned.
It’s not about timing the market but time in the market
It may be that Grantham has been wrong 40 out of 44 predictions, but what did the stock market look like at those times? It really looks like we are navigating in uncharted territory when It comes to high valuations…
Michael Burry bets when he is certain. He is doing well.
The rest don't put money where their mouth is.
live stock analysis yeah id like that
Your channel is useless… No let me rephrase than Less the useless thus Harmful.
To say that someone is stupid is subjective information. To show basic calculations of how compounding works with fancy graphics is useless.
Come up with a vision and investment leading strategy. Until the thumps down ** 100
Everyone, sell everything you have right now to drive the stock down so I can buy.
I watched a recent Jeremy Grantham interview and he stated that he was heavily short S&P 500 so of course he is calling for a crash.
Thanks for video Sven..are you ever looking at a PEG ratio ??.because some of the Pe’s can be justified if we have PEG less then 1 …i know that this question is not regarding this video, but I would like to know your answer, what do you think about PEG..
Saying that he was only right 4/14 times without giving the evidence is pathetic and weak. You don’t deserve to even be heard unless you back up your claims.
What about a core-satellite approach? Inexperienced investors by and large won't pick stocks (value/growth whatever) that well, so go passive. But if they can learn a good strategy to do so then start that as a satellite portfolio taking out equity from the core, particularly when the indexes have gone up?
Thank you Sven, very interesting analysis.
They’re always wrong until they’re right. Valuations are VERY high. I’m not saying to time the market. Just don’t go all in. Dollar cost average.
uuuh without the suit! casual friday kickin in. Bravo
This discussion is incomplete as it only uses nominal returns. Returns, especially long term, should be measured in real, inflation adjusted returns.
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Yes Live and tell us which stocks are safe
Strategy:
Buy
Hold
Buy some more
Everyone wants a market crash to buy discount stocks, but whenever it happens they panic and don’t do anything.
Super useful!
A bubble can deflate without popping. There are sociological and technological phenomena which may severely limit the probability of a crash. There is a kind of hypernormalization of markets as well as in the minds of investors. It's part of that disappearing into the Simulacrum which Baudrillard talked about.
Sven držiš li polyus dionicu još? Gdje je najbolje kupiti ju Rusija, London ili USA tržište?
we put it all in dog money
I had enough…gotin the sidelines…too much speculation, tooo little reasonance. We need a cathartic market puke.
Very few people are predicting a crash. If everybody was doing this, the indices would be down over 30% already.
Hi Sven – your general narrative is to not to try to time the market yet to optimize long term compounding rates meaning one needs to be prepared to sell before the crash snd get back in after? Please can you explain what your tactics are otherwise this is just blah blah
the stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.
6:42 Yeah, just avoid crashes. Why didn't I think of that.
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (Reits)
Compounding in a straight line is Wonderful – On Paper.
The Reality is IF you are fortunate (meaning extremely Lucky) to avoid a Crash – you can achieve a 10% compounded rate,
Other than “luck” you won’t.
Sorry to burst the Asset Bubble “happy talk”
A more down to earth rate is 5-6%.
Do you ever buy growth stocks like PLTR, apps, Sofi, xpro, INMB, Crbu ? Just wondering. Really enjoy your vids.
I would also prefer more frequent video reelases 🙂 For example, i love the Guide To Markets 2022 video since there is lots of value but could image to have it split in serie of 2 or 3 videos. I also cant wait your Seritage valuation 🙂
🗽 No crash, maybe a normal bear market… 🤔
My stock portfolio currently looks okay! I hold a lot of defensive shares. In addition commodities, energy and gold.
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I watched the recent interview with Grantham on Bloomberg . I didn’t find him to be alarmist in nature like a Peter Schiff video . Quite rational and level headed . But like the interviewer said the broken clock is right twice a day.
Thanks Sven